It’s dark and bitterly cold here, -15 Fahrenheit (-26 Celsius). It’s so cold I can hear the downspouts, the garage door and the gutters on the house popping and cracking in the cold; I feel like hibernating! In fact, at the present time Barrow, Alaska, the northernmost city in the U.S., is warmer than we are!
I’ve been watching a Bill Gaither CD and doing a little reading and came across an article on the Dunning–Kruger effect which seems to affect a lot of chessplayers.
The Dunning–Kruger effect is a pattern of deviation in judgment whereby inferences about other people and situations may be drawn in an illogical fashion; it causes unskilled individuals to suffer from illusory superiority, mistakenly rating their ability much higher than it is. This bias is attributed to the inability of the unskilled to recognize their ineptitude. Reminds of the time US Senior Master Dr. Eliot Hearst wrote that the definition of a master is everybody’s secret appraisal of his own ability.
David Dunning and Justin Kruger of Cornell University concluded that for a given skill, incompetent people will:
tend to overestimate their own level of skill
fail to recognize genuine skill in others
fail to recognize the extremity of their inadequacyThe D-K effect causes unskilled people to make poor decisions and reach erroneous conclusions, but their incompetence denies them the ability to recognize their mistakes. The unskilled therefore suffer from illusory superiority, rating their ability as above average, much higher than it actually is. Those who label themselves as experts, more often than not, aren’t. Conversely, those who genuinely know their stuff are considerably modest when compared to those who have a fraction of their experience and knowledge.
It’s easier to brag about how good you are than to actually be good. A lot of D-K people blog.